The East Asian crisis was
fundamentally a currency crisis. A lot of companies in East Asia, especially
financial institutions, had borrowed significant amounts of money from foreign
banks denominated in foreign currency. When Thailand's currency, the baht, was
devalued significantly, (Thailand's central bank had pegged the value of its
currency to the US dollar, and it did not have enough reserves to support its
value any longer) this precipitated a contagion where other currencies in the
area started dramatically falling in value. The decrease in the value of these
currencies made the loans borrowed by these financial institutions from foreign
banks unserviceable because these loans were denominated in foreign currency
and were thus much more expensive. This had a wide range of effects, perhaps
the most devastating one being the collapse of the equities market; the stock
markets in the East Asia region had lost as much as 2/3 of their value. The
economic implications of this are profound. I'd try to give a more
comprehensive search on the web, I'm not very familiar with this crisis
Debt Crisis – Asia 1997
Unlike the Debt crisis in Latin America, the debt crisis in
East Asia stemmed from inappropriate borrowing by the private sector. Due to
high rates of economic growth and a booming economy, private firms and
corporations looked to finance speculative investment projects. However, firms
overstretched themselves and a combination of factors caused a depreciation in
the exchange rate as they struggled to meet the payments.
Unlike the experience of Latin America, Asia economies have
been able to bounce back from their crisis more satisfactorily.
Causes of Asian Financial Crisis
·
Foreign
debt-to-GDP ratios rose from 100% to 167% in the four large ASEAN economies in
1993-96
·
Countries
like Thailand, Indonesia, South Korea had large current account deficits.
Financed by hot money flows (on capital account). Hot money flows were
accumulated because of higher interest rates in the East.
·
Financial
deregulation encouraged more loans and helped to create asset bubbles.
·
Booming
economy and booming property markets encouraged expansive borrowing by firms.
·
In
the late 1990s, the US increased interest rates to reduce inflationary
pressures. Higher interest rates in the US, made the East less attractive as a
place to move hot money flows. As hot money flows into the east dried up,
currencies started to fall and governments struggled to keep exchange rates at
their fixed level against the US Dollar.
·
Thailand
was the first to have to float the Thai Bhat, this caused a rapid devaluation,
which triggered a loss of confidence throughout the Asian economies. Soon,
other countries were forced to devalue as investors wanted to get out of Asian
currencies.
·
The
devaluation caused debt to be even more difficult to repay and countries
started to default.
·
At
this stage the IMF intervened to try and stabilise the crisis. However, their
intervention has proved very controversial, with many arguing that their
intervention made things worse.
·
The
IMF insisted on fiscal restraint – lower spending, higher taxes and
privatisation. This contractionary fiscal policy caused the economic downturn
to exacerbate and the economy plunged into recession. Bankruptcies increased
and there was a flight of capital.
·
Economists
such as Stiglitz and Sachs emphasised the importance of market sentiment in
increasing the magnitude of the problem. The initial problem was containable
but because confidence evaporated there was a flight of investors – like a
classic bank run causing an unstoppable downward momentum. For more detail visit here
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